Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 2
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
NOT
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
3 - 1
LIV
47%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
7 - 4
MUD
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1908 |
SHW
1 - 2
LIV
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |