Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
SHW
1 - 2
ASV
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
ASV
7 - 1
WIM
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
ASV
1 - 0
TOT
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
NTT
1 - 2
ASV
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEI
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
LEI
1 - 2
WHU
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEI
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
WOL
1 - 0
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
OPA
0 - 1
LEI
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |