Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 2
LEE
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
SHE
1 - 0
ASV
45%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
FUL
1 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1965 |
TOT
4 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1965 |
LEI
1 - 3
LIV
44%
24%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1965 |
LEI
0 - 1
STO
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
TOT
6 - 2
LEI
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1965 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |