Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 3
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1957 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
77%
13%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LUT
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 3
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
LEI
4 - 1
SHW
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
ARS
3 - 1
LEI
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 1
LEI
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 3
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |