Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
14.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
2 - 2
BIR
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
0 - 3
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1935 |
LEI
1 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1934 |
WOL
3 - 1
LEI
65%
17%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1934 |
HUR
2 - 3
LEI
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
LEI
0 - 3
HUR
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
LEI
6 - 3
OPA
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |