Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 0
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1932 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
51%
21%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
ASV
6 - 1
BOL
76%
13%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1932 |
LEI
0 - 3
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 1
HUR
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1932 |
WOL
1 - 1
LEI
49%
21%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1932 |
HUR
4 - 1
LEI
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
LEI
1 - 1
SHE
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |