Aston Villa vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
SHW
3 - 0
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 2
MAC
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
LEE
0 - 2
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 0
SHE
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 1
LEI
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 1
LEI
51%
23%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
3 - 1
NEW
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
MID
2 - 2
LEI
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 1
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |