Aston Villa vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
NOR
1 - 3
ASV
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
WBA
0 - 0
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEI
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
SOU
1 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
ASV
4 - 1
BHA
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
LEE
2 - 1
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
LEE
0 - 5
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
COV
2 - 1
LEE
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
LEE
1 - 0
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 1
LEE
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |