Aston Villa vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
LEE
6 - 0
ASV
27%
29%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
LEE
6 - 0
ASV
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
6 - 1
LEE
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1924 |
LEE
0 - 3
MAC
33%
27%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
BCF
1 - 0
LEE
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |