Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
DER
1 - 0
ASV
39%
27%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 1
MID
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 3
ASV
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 2
LEI
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
IPS
3 - 1
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
IPS
2 - 0
EVE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
71%
17%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
IPS
1 - 2
LEE
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
BIR
4 - 1
IPS
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |