Aston Villa vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
EVE
0 - 2
ASV
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ASV
4 - 0
WHU
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
29%
27%
43%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
IPS
2 - 2
QPR
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1976 |
EVE
1 - 1
IPS
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
IPS
3 - 1
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
IPS
2 - 6
DER
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
IPS
4 - 0
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |