Aston Villa vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ASV
3 - 1
BBU
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FUL
0 - 0
ASV
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SPB
1 - 1
ASV
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
ASV
17%
22%
61%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 4
MAC
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
BRE
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |