Aston Villa vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
13%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
ASV
1 - 1
MID
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 3
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
STO
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 4
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
CHA
2 - 3
GRI
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 2
BOL
57%
21%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
OPA
4 - 0
GRI
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
GRI
0 - 5
MID
41%
22%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |