Aston Villa vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHW
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1964 |
EVE
4 - 2
ASV
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
ASV
2 - 2
LIV
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
SHE
1 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
CHL
1 - 2
FUL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 1
BPO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
NTT
2 - 0
FUL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
FUL
1 - 1
BBU
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |