Aston Villa vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1962 |
ASV
0 - 0
TOT
35%
24%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHA
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
BPO
1 - 2
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
ASV
1 - 0
BBU
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
WHU
2 - 0
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 1
FUL
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
FUL
1 - 0
POR
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
FUL
1 - 2
IPS
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1962 |
LEI
4 - 1
FUL
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1962 |
FUL
0 - 2
SHW
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |