Aston Villa vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
PNE
1 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1960 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
43%
23%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1960 |
WBA
0 - 2
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
ASV
6 - 2
BIR
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1960 |
FUL
4 - 2
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1960 |
TOT
5 - 1
FUL
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1960 |
FUL
1 - 1
WHU
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 3
FUL
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 3
EVE
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |