Aston Villa vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
MAC
3 - 3
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
DER
2 - 2
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1949 |
HUR
2 - 2
FUL
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
FUL
1 - 2
WOL
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1949 |
FUL
2 - 0
WHU
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
TOT
1 - 1
FUL
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
FUL
2 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |