Europa League 1/32
Global 6-0
Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
BRI
1 - 1
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
ASV
1 - 2
EVE
60%
21%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
ASV
1 - 4
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
QPR
1 - 2
ASV
52%
24%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
ANK
2 - 1
FEN
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
FEN
5 - 2
MER
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
FEN
2 - 1
SAM
71%
20%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1977 |
ALT
1 - 2
FEN
42%
31%
27%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
FEN
1 - 1
TRA
57%
26%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |