Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
8º
26
15º
20º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
43%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 2
ARS
24%
23%
53%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 0
ASV
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 2
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOU
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
3 - 0
DON
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOT
4 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 3
BHA
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 1
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |