Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
ASV
0 - 0
WHU
65%
23%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
LEI
1 - 0
ASV
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
ASV
1 - 0
LIV
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
NTT
0 - 0
ASV
41%
28%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
LEE
1 - 0
EVE
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |