Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
1 - 2
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
LEE
2 - 0
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
ASV
0 - 1
IPS
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
COV
0 - 1
ASV
34%
30%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
EVE
0 - 1
TOT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1994 |
NOR
3 - 0
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
LIV
2 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
EVE
2 - 1
OLD
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1994 |
EVE
1 - 1
ARS
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |