Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1993 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
CRY
1 - 0
ASV
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
ASV
2 - 0
IPS
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
WIM
0 - 0
ASV
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
SOU
2 - 0
ASV
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
EVE
1 - 2
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
SHW
3 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
EVE
0 - 1
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1993 |
WIM
1 - 3
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
EVE
2 - 0
LEE
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |