Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 3
ASV
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1979 |
NTT
2 - 1
ASV
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1979 |
ASV
3 - 0
COV
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
ASV
1 - 3
LIV
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
EVE
1 - 0
NTT
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1979 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |