Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
ASV
0 - 1
BUR
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASV
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 0
ASV
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ASV
1 - 1
FUL
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1967 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
BPO
0 - 1
EVE
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 1
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |