Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1958 |
LEE
0 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 4
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
EVE
2 - 2
BBU
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
BPO
1 - 1
EVE
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1958 |
EVE
3 - 2
MUD
35%
23%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
TOT
10 - 4
EVE
74%
15%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1958 |
EVE
3 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |