Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 3
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 4
SHE
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
EVE
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
HUR
1 - 0
EVE
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 2
SUN
44%
23%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 0
EVE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |