Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1946 |
DER
1 - 1
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1946 |
ASV
3 - 4
DER
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
DER
1 - 0
ASV
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1939 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1946 |
EVE
0 - 2
BRE
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1939 |
BBU
2 - 2
EVE
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1939 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
52%
22%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1939 |
EVE
1 - 1
BRE
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1939 |
GRI
3 - 0
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |