Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
LEI
5 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHW
64%
19%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
WHU
5 - 1
ASV
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 3
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 2
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
SHE
3 - 3
EVE
62%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |