Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 0
ARS
55%
22%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1926 |
HUR
5 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
SHE
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASV
48%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
LEI
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
BCF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1926 |
MUD
0 - 0
EVE
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 1
SUN
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
EVE
2 - 3
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |