Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 3
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
MAC
2 - 2
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 0
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1924 |
EVE
3 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 1
EVE
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |