Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 4
ASV
52%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 2
ASV
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1921 |
ASV
5 - 3
SHE
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 2
ASV
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |