Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
CHL
3 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
WBA
2 - 0
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
SUN
4 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
0 - 0
SHE
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
MID
5 - 1
EVE
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1915 |
EVE
1 - 1
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |