Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 3
ASV
48%
23%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 4
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
6 - 1
BCF
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 3
MAC
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
BRI
3 - 2
EVE
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |