FA Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Aston Villa vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 0
WIG
59%
24%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 1
ASV
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DON
0 - 0
ASV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 2
ASV
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 1
WBA
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
DON
1 - 1
NOR
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 1
DON
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DON
0 - 0
ASV
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
DON
3 - 0
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 2
DON
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |