Aston Villa vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
ASV
4 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
COV
2 - 1
ASV
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
ASV
0 - 1
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
DAR
4 - 0
HAL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 2
DAR
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
SWA
0 - 0
DAR
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
GIL
3 - 1
DAR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
DAR
1 - 1
GUL
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |