Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 0
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TOT
2 - 1
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ASV
0 - 2
MID
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEI
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 1
COV
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
STO
0 - 1
CRY
35%
26%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 0
CRY
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRY
1 - 1
PNE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
WIG
5 - 0
CRY
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |