Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
WIM
2 - 2
ASV
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ASV
1 - 1
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASV
2 - 2
LEI
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
TOT
2 - 4
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
CHL
4 - 0
DER
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
56%
24%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
CHL
2 - 0
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
MUD
3 - 2
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |