Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
BPO
6 - 0
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 0
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
OPA
2 - 2
ASV
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
1 - 3
OPA
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
OPA
4 - 4
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |