Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 2
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
ASV
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ASV
4 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
PNE
2 - 2
ASV
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 2
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
PNE
1 - 0
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 0
CHL
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
1 - 0
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |