Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASV
49%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
CHL
3 - 1
HUR
65%
18%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
OPA
4 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |