Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 3
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
OPA
3 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
SHE
0 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1949 |
CHL
1 - 0
SHE
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 2
STO
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
BUR
3 - 0
CHL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |