Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
BBU
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
MID
4 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
LEE
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 1
ASV
57%
20%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1934 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1934 |
CHL
4 - 1
LIV
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1934 |
OPA
1 - 1
CHL
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |