Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
SUN
5 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
2 - 3
ASV
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 5
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
SHE
3 - 3
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
LEI
1 - 1
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
CHL
5 - 0
SHE
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
WOL
1 - 1
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
4 - 0
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |