Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
0 - 2
ASV
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 3
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 4
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
2 - 2
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
0 - 2
ASV
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
OPA
1 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
5 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
DER
6 - 2
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
CHL
1 - 5
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |