Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
BBU
1 - 2
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
EVE
2 - 3
CHL
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 0
EVE
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |