Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
MID
1 - 4
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 0
HUR
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 0
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
TOT
1 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHL
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1921 |
WBA
1 - 1
CHL
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
CAR
1 - 0
CHL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |