Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
PNE
4 - 1
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 2
ASV
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
LIV
1 - 2
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 0
BRA
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1912 |
BAR
0 - 2
CHL
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
4 - 1
BPO
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 0
HUL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
DER
2 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |