Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
ASV
5 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 2
NOT
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRI
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |