Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
NTT
2 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
SHE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ASV
6 - 0
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
5 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 4
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
3 - 4
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 4
CHL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |