Aston Villa vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
OPA
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
FUL
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 1
RAP
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 3
ASV
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
QPR
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DON
2 - 0
CAR
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRO
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |